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U.S. 10Yr – 3Mo Yield Curve Inverts Again

Here we go again. The 10-year – 3-month Treasury curve has turned negative again.

https://confoundedinterestnet.files.wordpress.com/2019/05/10y3mcurve.png

Source: Confound Interest

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This entry was posted in Bonds and tagged inverted yield curve on May 9, 2019 by Bone Fish.

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Pay attention to the DYX, WTI and specifically the US10Y. Generally, a weaker DXY with crude higher and a stable US10Y is BULLISH for the stock market. Conversely, a stronger DXY, lower WTI and a dropping US10Y is BEARISH for the stock market.

US10Y X DYX / 1.61 = X Factor. Low X Factor = RISK ON, a high X Factor = RISK OFF.

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